Cooling demand is rapidly changing the interest-rate debate
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Cooling inflation and weaker job data ease Fed hike bets, but Hormuz tensions increase oil risks. See how QQQ, IWM and TLT may respond.

Washington is floating brand-new tax cuts at the exact moment the federal deficit is blowing past levels not seen since the pandemic, and bond markets are already reacting. Here is what the latest Treasury numbers reveal about where fiscal policy could push interest rates next.

Stock Market Today: The Dow Jones index rises Thursday after surprise key inflation data. Cisco and AI stock Cerebras plunge on earnings.
Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, advanced 0.2% last month, with the overall annual inflation rate landing at 3.4%.

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) is up +0.25%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.07%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.85%. September E-mini S&P futures (ESU26 ) are up +0.38%, and September E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQU26...
Intel’s stock dropped 4%, weighing on the Nasdaq after announcing a $15 billion stock offering.
Downward revisions make July's slowdown harder to dismiss
A fragile breakthrough could reshape inflation and rate expectations
The Fed's next decision is suddenly far less predictable
Falling energy prices may not solve the inflation problem
The Nasdaq-100 is on track to deliver its strongest daily gain in more than a year. The index tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:QQQ) surged 3.5% in afternoon trading, on pace for its best session since May 2025, when the Trump administration’s 90-day tariff pause with China unleashed a relief rally across global equities. This time, the catalyst was another proof yet that the artificial intelligence spending boom remains alive and well. A blockbuster quarter from Microsoft Corpo
Policy debate is shifting away from cuts toward tightening
Wednesday will be another volatile session with big tech earnings and a Fed interest rate decision on deck.
Stock Market Today: The Dow Jones index rose, but tech futures dropped as chip stocks Micron and Sandisk dived. Coca-Cola jumped on earnings.
Inflation and geopolitics are becoming bigger considerations for these tech-centric investments.
A near-14% annual yield with monthly payouts sounds like a retirement dream, but the hidden cost of owning QQQI could leave long-term holders waiting decades just to break even after the next major crash.
June's softer-than-expected CPI reading is a vital variable that keeps new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh from being forced to choke off market liquidity with aggressive rate hikes.
U.S. stock futures edged higher in the overnight session on Wednesday as markets assessed risks from the U.S.-Iran war and the Federal Reserve’s inflation concerns.